A 2024 rematch between President Biden and former President Trump would be a virtual dead heat, according to a new poll from Emerson.
The survey published Friday found Biden with the support of 45% of potential voters, while Trump came in with 44%. A total of 6% would vote for someone else, and 5% are undecided — a potentially decisive bloc of voters.
The poll also found voters split down the middle on the recent FBI raid of Mar-a-Lago, with 33% saying it made them more likely to support Trump in 2024, while another 33% said it made them less likely. The remaining 34% of voters said the raid made no difference.
As the midterms approach, President Biden’s approval ratings remain underwater with 45% of voters approving his performance, and 49% disapproving. Still, the numbers are Biden’s highest from Emerson all year and have been steadily improving.
A generic 2022 midterm House ballot showed voters equally divided between Democrats and Republicans with 45% each — a steady improvement for Democrats despite record-high inflation.
“Biden’s increase in approval appears to be driven by women voters. Since July, women voters’ approval of the President has jumped 10 points, from 39% to 49%.” said Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College polling. “Women voters support the Democratic congressional candidate over the Republican candidate by 10 points, while men break for the Republican candidate by 12.”
The economy remains a prime concern, with 39% of voters saying it was one of their most important issues. That was followed by threats to democracy (15%), and abortion access (10%).
The national poll quizzed 1,368 very likely voters between Sept. 20-21.